Further refining the key Task 2 from The Siladon Event, the requirement for Certain is 15/15 (or perhaps simply the flat 150... no way to know) rather than the 15/16 from the previous result with 2 on the partial completion.

Thank you, so your spread was still 13/15/8?

No mate, had more completions on both 1 and 3 than the last time, but my hypothesis that the second it ticked to 15 full completions on Task 2 that it would click over to Certain was confirmed.
Everyone else was long finished when the final completion on task 2 was done.
As for whether or not the same would happen on 13/15/8 full completions, I would certainly guess so, as the difference in completions on Task 2 was only 2 partials.
Cannot *know* of course, but if I was betting one way or the other I'd guess at 15 fulls being enough.

Foundry of War from Tryptonian Empire
c = complete, p = partial
# p(##) = people with partials(all the partials combined)

*********************************
Final = fair(success)
task 1(1 c), task 2(14 c), task 3(17 c)
*********************************



This was during the mission, it was an early fair. Up to you if you want to use it or not.
task 1(1 c), task 2(3 c, 6 p(56)), task 3(7 c, 5 p(51))

That has been added. Thank you. And thanks once again to everyone that is contributing toward this.

Assault on crimson-6 from tryptonian empire
Task 1(6 C, 1 P), task 2(6 C, 2 F, 21 P), task 3(19 C, 25 P)
Fair-success

The Siladon Event @ TF
We found exactly when we swung from fair to high chance

Chance: Fair
Task 1: 11/12 C (1 @ 4/20)
Task 2: 7 C
Task 3: 7 C

Chance: High
Task 1: 11/12 C (1 @ 4/20)
Task 2: 7 C
Task 3: 8 C

Maybe this event needs 25+ C spread out for high chance? Idk how it's calculated anyways, but hope the data helps.

coolio.

from the data there (The Fallen, The Wild Hunt, Zentzu) .. what we need someone to try next time is to get task3 done 8x first .. then do the other 2 tasks to see when high gets triggered.

certain is obviously not TOTAL number of task completions.

TWH only had high with 14/13/12 (39 tasks completed) .. but had certain with 13/15/8 (36 tasks completed) ... so task2 needs 14 or 15 to get certain (along with task2 needing 8, and task1 needing ??).

of course, it could be a 2 out of 3 situation, or a stagger for each stage (task3 requirement for fair, task1 for high, task2 for certain).

subspace vanguard
League Missions

Disturbance at Ryelis... 01/02/2016 Success Chance: Fair
Task 1..... 11 completions...... 3 none
Task 2..... 2 completions
Task 3..... 14 completions

The Legion Mission Disturbance at Ryelis was successful!
Reward Received: 4 Relic Badge(s)

follow up mission

Cleanup at Ryelis... 04/02/2016 Success Chance: Fair
Task 1...... 17 completions... 4 none
Task 2...... 8 completions... 1 none
Task 3...... 2 completions

The Legion Mission Cleanup at Ryelis was successful!
Reward Received: 5 Relic Badge(s)

Carjean: The Heist..... 06/02/2016 Success Chance: Poor

Task 1..... 5 completions.... 3 none
Task 2..... 5 completions.... 6 none
Task 3..... 2 completions.... 1 none
Task 4..... 2 completions.... 1 none

The Legion Mission Carjean: The Heist has failed.

The Siladon Event.....10/02/2016 Success Chance: High

Task 1.... 14 completions
Task 2.... 8 completions..... 4 none
Task 3.... 9 completions

The Legion Mission The Siladon Event was successful!
Reward Received: 4 Relic Badge(s)

The Hunt for Mawks.............. 13/02/2016 Success Chance: Low

Task 1.... 16 completions...
Task 2.... 14 completions... Task Failed 3

The Legion Mission The Hunt for Mawks has failed.

Hunt for mawks session 3, we went from extremely low to low when we got our 23rd task completion (18 to 19 on task 1, with 4 done on task 2 and 10+1+0 done in partials.)

just added all the info that i could glean from a previous topic covering this info:

viewtopic.php?f=7&t=33557

the screenshots from namalak were ideal

also added the 'certain' info from: viewtopic.php?f=6&t=33713&start=8

Interesting to note the partial completions leading to fair success on Galakis:

Task 1 Completions: 5
Task 1 Partials: 1 (7/20)

Task 2 Completions: 4
Task 2 Partials: 6 (79/120)

Task 3 Completions: 3*
Task 3 Partials: 7 (31/70)

Note that we hit fair before one of those completions was completed (not sure where he was when I'd checked earlier.)

It is more likely a specified number of progress that ticks it over. For example on Mawks Chapter 3, you will not get Certain unless you have 500 progress on each task.

On July 18, 2017 Galaxy Battleships hit a CERTAIN chance of success with 28 completions and 35 partial, on The Tenebris Discovery, Early Timeline

Thanks. That's to be expected based on TWH's Certain status from March 2016 of 29 completion equivalent (23+197)

On August 5, 2017, Galaxy Battleships made it to a HIGH chance of success on The Tenebris Discovery, Main Timeline
Task 1 --- 17 completions and 27 partial
Task 2 --- 10 completions and 12 partial
Task 3 --- 11 completions and 0 partial

wiki updated to include. thx.

Can you check what you put into the wiki, the Task 2 info is not correct, which makes the total completions incorrect: Task 2 should be 10 completions with 12 partial. So that makes the Total number of completions 38 and the equivalent 39. Thanks

Fixed.

On The Siladon Event as of today, Galaxy Battleships has 22 completions on Task 1 with 6 partial, 9 completions on Task 2, and 14 completions on Task 3 for a total of 45 completions and we are still sitting at High chance. So it looks like in order to move up to Certain it is going to take more completions for Task 2, even though we have 45 total.